Albion FC vs Club Atletico Progreso

03 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Albion FC

Club Atletico Progreso

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 30.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% 2.25 DRAW 29.0% 3.25 AWAY 29.1% 3.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Club Atletico Progreso

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Albion FC Club Atletico Progreso

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Albion FC Club Atletico Progreso

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Club Atletico Progreso has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Albion FC Club Atletico Progreso

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Albion FC ↓ -0.07 (-3.0%)

Club Atletico Progreso ↑ +0.32 (+10.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.