Uruguay Cup · UY

Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro

01 Sep 2026 · 23:00

MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 44.2%

Draw 29.6%

Away 26.2%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 14.7 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Montevideo Wanderers Cerro

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Montevideo Wanderers, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Montevideo Wanderers Cerro

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Montevideo Wanderers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Montevideo Wanderers Cerro

The combined recent performance profile favours Montevideo Wanderers.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Montevideo Wanderers ↓ -0.08 (-3.7%)

Cerro ↑ +0.15 (+4.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.541

Shot rating 30

Shots-on-target rating 12

Qualified model signal Detected

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus, recent performance and the StochasticBet model point in the same direction.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.