Club Oriental vs Racing Club de Montevideo

04 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Club Oriental

Racing Club de Montevideo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.1% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 48.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.0% 4.10 DRAW 29.7% 3.30 AWAY 46.3% 2.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Racing Club de Montevideo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Oriental Racing Club de Montevideo

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Oriental Racing Club de Montevideo

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Racing Club de Montevideo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Oriental Racing Club de Montevideo

The combined recent performance profile favours Racing Club de Montevideo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Club Oriental ↓ -0.40 (-8.4%)

Racing Club de Montevideo ↑ +0.12 (+7.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.