Fiorentina vs Pisa

15 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Fiorentina

Pisa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.3% DRAW 18.8% AWAY 11.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.2% 1.42 DRAW 19.3% 5.10 AWAY 11.6% 8.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fiorentina Pisa

Shots 16.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 16.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fiorentina Pisa

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fiorentina Pisa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fiorentina ↓ -0.06 (-3.7%)

Pisa ↑ +1.95 (+29.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.