Club 9 de Octubre vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Club 9 de Octubre

San Antonio FC Cotacachi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.8% DRAW 17.4% AWAY 11.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.6% 1.48 DRAW 19.1% 5.25 AWAY 13.3% 7.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Club 9 de Octubre relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 70.8% win probability, compared with 67.6% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Club 9 de Octubre has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club 9 de Octubre San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Club 9 de Octubre, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club 9 de Octubre San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Club 9 de Octubre has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club 9 de Octubre San Antonio FC Cotacachi

The combined recent performance profile favours Club 9 de Octubre.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Club 9 de Octubre ↓ -0.32 (-17.8%)

San Antonio FC Cotacachi ↑ +3.00 (+66.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.