Club 9 de Octubre vs Independiente Juniors

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Club 9 de Octubre

Independiente Juniors

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% DRAW 31.5% AWAY 22.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.2% 1.97 DRAW 30.7% 3.10 AWAY 21.1% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Independiente Juniors

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club 9 de Octubre Independiente Juniors

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 14.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Independiente Juniors, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club 9 de Octubre Independiente Juniors

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club 9 de Octubre Independiente Juniors

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Club 9 de Octubre ↓ -0.03 (-1.5%)

Independiente Juniors ↑ +0.75 (+20.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.