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Saudi Arabia U21 League · SA

Al Najma U21 vs Al Wehda U21

09 Nov 2026 · 15:55
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Al Najma U21. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.05 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.18. At this price, a home win for Al Najma U21 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Al Najma U21
STOCHASTICBET 45.9%
PINNACLE 43.6% odd 2.05
DIFFERENCE +2.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 26.5%
PINNACLE 26.8% odd 3.34
DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp
AWAY
Al Wehda U21
STOCHASTICBET 27.6%
PINNACLE 29.6% odd 3.02
DIFFERENCE -2.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 13:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Al Wehda U21

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Al Najma U21 Al Wehda U21
Shots 0.8 · On target 0.5 Shots 2.3 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Wehda U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Al Najma U21 Al Wehda U21
Shots allowed 0.8 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Al Najma U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Al Najma U21 Al Wehda U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Najma U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-09 13:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -6.24 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW +0.54 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +5.71 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.