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Saudi Arabia U21 League · SA

Al Hazm U21 vs Al Wehda U21

26 Oct 2026 · 16:10
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Al Hazm U21. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, the exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced.

The visitors have struggled to obtain positive results. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.89 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.95. At this price, a home win for Al Hazm U21 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Al Hazm U21
STOCHASTICBET 51.3%
PINNACLE 46.9% odd 1.89
DIFFERENCE +4.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 26.4%
PINNACLE 27.2% odd 3.27
DIFFERENCE -0.8 pp
AWAY
Al Wehda U21
STOCHASTICBET 22.3%
PINNACLE 25.9% odd 3.43
DIFFERENCE -3.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 26 Oct 2026 · 05:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Al Hazm U21

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Al Hazm U21 Al Wehda U21
Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 1.5 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Al Hazm U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Al Hazm U21 Al Wehda U21
Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Al Wehda U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Al Hazm U21 Al Wehda U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Hazm U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-26 07:23:03

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Historical odds not available for this match.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Saudi Arabia U21 League · 83 matches with scores · 27 with shots · coverage 32.5%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Al Hazm U216 matches · 2 home / 4 away
DLLWWW
Shot data available for 4/6 matches
Al Wehda U216 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DLDLLL
Shot data available for 2/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Hazm U21Home team
—Insufficient data
Al Wehda U21Away team
—Insufficient data
Al Hazm U21: — · league average — · 4 valid matchesAl Wehda U21: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Hazm U21Home team
—Insufficient data
Al Wehda U21Away team
—Insufficient data
Al Hazm U21: — · league average — · 4 valid matchesAl Wehda U21: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Hazm U21Home team
—Insufficient data
Al Wehda U21Away team
—Insufficient data
Al Hazm U21: — · league average — · 4 valid matchesAl Wehda U21: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Hazm U21Home team
—Insufficient data
Al Wehda U21Away team
—Insufficient data
Al Hazm U21: — · league average — · 4 valid matchesAl Wehda U21: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al Hazm U21Home team
+0.371.83 actual
Al Wehda U21Away team
−0.870.67 actual
Al Hazm U21: 1.83 · league average 1.46 · 6 valid matchesAl Wehda U21: 0.67 · league average 1.54 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Al Hazm U21Home team
—Insufficient data
Al Wehda U21Away team
—Insufficient data
Al Hazm U21: — · league average — · 4 valid matchesAl Wehda U21: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Al Hazm U21Home team
—Insufficient data
Al Wehda U21Away team
—Insufficient data
Al Hazm U21: — · league average — · 4 valid matchesAl Wehda U21: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Individual match details

Al Hazm U21 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
19/10/2026Away0–00 / 00 / 0
13/10/2026Home2–39 / 74 / 5
14/09/2026Home1–27 / 122 / 5
06/09/2026Away3–1——
23/05/2026Away3–114 / 127 / 8
17/05/2026Away2–0——
Al Wehda U21 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home2–2——
12/10/2026Away1–26 / 133 / 9
19/09/2026Home0–0——
13/09/2026Away0–6——
06/09/2026Home1–4——
01/09/2026Away0–10 / 90 / 4

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.