Udinese vs Lazio

07 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

Udinese

Lazio

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.6% DRAW 31.7% AWAY 34.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.9% 2.88 DRAW 31.3% 3.12 AWAY 34.8% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Udinese

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Udinese Lazio

Shots 14.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Udinese, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Udinese Lazio

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Lazio has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Udinese Lazio

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Udinese ↓ -0.18 (-5.7%)

Lazio ↑ +0.16 (+6.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.