Uzbekistan U23 vs Philippines U23

15 Sep 2026 · 08:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Uzbekistan U23

Philippines U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 82.6% DRAW 12.5% AWAY 5.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 81.4% 1.15 DRAW 13.4% 7.00 AWAY 5.2% 18.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Uzbekistan U23

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Uzbekistan U23 Philippines U23

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Uzbekistan U23 Philippines U23

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Uzbekistan U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Uzbekistan U23 Philippines U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Uzbekistan U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Uzbekistan U23 ↑ +0.07 (+6.5%)

Philippines U23 ↓ -8.00 (-30.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.