China U23 vs North Korea U23

16 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

China U23

North Korea U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% DRAW 31.6% AWAY 27.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% 2.35 DRAW 31.4% 2.95 AWAY 29.3% 3.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: China U23

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

China U23 North Korea U23

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 3.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours China U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

China U23 North Korea U23

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.3

North Korea U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

China U23 North Korea U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

China U23 ↓ -0.28 (-10.5%)

North Korea U23 ↑ +0.54 (+20.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.