UAE U23 vs Iran U23

16 Sep 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

UAE U23

Iran U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.5% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 49.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.4% 4.20 DRAW 29.4% 3.20 AWAY 48.2% 1.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Iran U23

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

UAE U23 Iran U23

Shots 3.3 · On target 0.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Iran U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UAE U23 Iran U23

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UAE U23 Iran U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Iran U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

UAE U23 ↑ +0.06 (+1.4%)

Iran U23 ↑ +0.13 (+7.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.