Thailand U23 vs Kyrgyzstan U23

16 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Thailand U23

Kyrgyzstan U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% DRAW 30.0% AWAY 30.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.9% 2.40 DRAW 29.9% 3.13 AWAY 31.2% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kyrgyzstan U23

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Thailand U23 Kyrgyzstan U23

Shots 3.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Kyrgyzstan U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Thailand U23 Kyrgyzstan U23

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Thailand U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Thailand U23 Kyrgyzstan U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Thailand U23 ↑ +0.23 (+10.6%)

Kyrgyzstan U23 ↓ -0.34 (-10.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.