MLS FC Lawngtlai vs Kanan FC

04 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.2 pp

MLS FC Lawngtlai

Kanan FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.1% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 25.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.9% 1.95 DRAW 24.4% 3.75 AWAY 28.7% 3.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates MLS FC Lawngtlai clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.1% win probability, compared with 46.9% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

MLS FC Lawngtlai has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

MLS FC Lawngtlai Kanan FC

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MLS FC Lawngtlai Kanan FC

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 7.8

MLS FC Lawngtlai has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MLS FC Lawngtlai Kanan FC

The combined recent performance profile favours MLS FC Lawngtlai.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

MLS FC Lawngtlai ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

Kanan FC ↑ +0.09 (+2.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.