← Match Center
Belgium Reserve League · BE

Francs Borains Reserves vs RAAL La Louviere Reserves

23 Oct 2026 · 20:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for RAAL La Louviere Reserves. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Their shooting balance has been moderately positive.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.68 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.78. At this price, an away win for RAAL La Louviere Reserves does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Francs Borains Reserves
STOCHASTICBET 22.3%
PINNACLE 24.4% odd 3.68
DIFFERENCE -2.1 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.7%
PINNACLE 22.3% odd 4.03
DIFFERENCE -0.6 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
RAAL La Louviere Reserves
STOCHASTICBET 56.0%
PINNACLE 53.3% odd 1.68
DIFFERENCE +2.7 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 19:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: RAAL La Louviere Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Francs Borains Reserves RAAL La Louviere Reserves
Shots 5.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours RAAL La Louviere Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Francs Borains Reserves RAAL La Louviere Reserves
Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Francs Borains Reserves RAAL La Louviere Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours RAAL La Louviere Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Belgium Reserve League · 41 matches with scores · 39 with shots · coverage 95.1%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Francs Borains Reserves6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
DDLLWL
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
RAAL La Louviere Reserves6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WDDLWW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Francs Borains ReservesHome team
−4.76.2 actual
RAAL La Louviere ReservesAway team
+1.612.5 actual
Francs Borains Reserves: 6.2 · league average 10.9 · 5 valid matchesRAAL La Louviere Reserves: 12.5 · league average 10.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Francs Borains ReservesHome team
+1.512.4 actual
RAAL La Louviere ReservesAway team
+0.611.5 actual
Francs Borains Reserves: 12.4 · league average 10.9 · 5 valid matchesRAAL La Louviere Reserves: 11.5 · league average 10.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Francs Borains ReservesHome team
−1.63.6 actual
RAAL La Louviere ReservesAway team
+0.25.3 actual
Francs Borains Reserves: 3.6 · league average 5.2 · 5 valid matchesRAAL La Louviere Reserves: 5.3 · league average 5.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Francs Borains ReservesHome team
+1.76.8 actual
RAAL La Louviere ReservesAway team
−0.34.8 actual
Francs Borains Reserves: 6.8 · league average 5.1 · 5 valid matchesRAAL La Louviere Reserves: 4.8 · league average 5.2 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Francs Borains ReservesHome team
+0.132.17 actual
RAAL La Louviere ReservesAway team
−0.501.50 actual
Francs Borains Reserves: 2.17 · league average 2.04 · 6 valid matchesRAAL La Louviere Reserves: 1.50 · league average 2.00 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Francs Borains ReservesHome team
+13.7 pp32.3% actual
RAAL La Louviere ReservesAway team
−6.4 pp12.0% actual
Francs Borains Reserves: 32.3% · league average 18.6% · 5 valid matchesRAAL La Louviere Reserves: 12.0% · league average 18.4% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Francs Borains ReservesHome team
+10.8 pp29.0% actual
RAAL La Louviere ReservesAway team
−3.9 pp14.5% actual
Francs Borains Reserves: 29.0% · league average 18.3% · 5 valid matchesRAAL La Louviere Reserves: 14.5% · league average 18.4% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Francs Borains Reserves · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
16/10/2026Away3–36 / 64 / 3
09/10/2026Home1–11 / 11 / 1
18/09/2026Away2–58 / 145 / 9
04/09/2026Home2–47 / 183 / 11
28/08/2026Home3–0——
08/05/2026Home2–59 / 235 / 10
RAAL La Louviere Reserves · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
16/10/2026Home2–113 / 119 / 2
09/10/2026Away1–110 / 104 / 3
18/09/2026Home1–124 / 157 / 8
11/09/2026Away0–44 / 111 / 6
04/09/2026Away2–111 / 96 / 5
28/08/2026Home3–213 / 135 / 5

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.