Al Ahed vs Akhaa Ahli Aley

07 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Al Ahed

Akhaa Ahli Aley

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.0% DRAW 16.0% AWAY 22.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.1% 1.42 DRAW 17.1% 5.25 AWAY 19.9% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Akhaa Ahli Aley has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Ahed Akhaa Ahli Aley

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Ahed Akhaa Ahli Aley

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Akhaa Ahli Aley has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Ahed Akhaa Ahli Aley

The combined recent performance profile favours Akhaa Ahli Aley.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al Ahed ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

Akhaa Ahli Aley ↓ -0.50 (-10.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.