Vasco da Gama (W) vs Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)

08 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Vasco da Gama (W)

Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.8% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 14.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.1% 1.55 DRAW 22.9% 4.20 AWAY 15.0% 6.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Vasco da Gama (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vasco da Gama (W) Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)

Shots 11.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vasco da Gama (W) Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Vasco da Gama (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vasco da Gama (W) Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vasco da Gama (W) ↑ +0.07 (+4.7%)

Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) ↑ +0.90 (+16.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.