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France Ligue 3 · FR

Vallieres vs Hyeres FC

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00
SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp
Vallieres
Hyeres FC
HOME 43.6% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 27.2%
HOME 40.8% 2.27 DRAW 29.4% 3.15 AWAY 29.9% 3.10

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Vallieres relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.6% win probability, compared with 40.8% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Vallieres has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Vallieres Hyeres FC
Shots 13.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Vallieres Hyeres FC
Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Vallieres has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Vallieres Hyeres FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Vallieres.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vallieres ↑ +0.07 (+3.2%)
Hyeres FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.