← Match Center
Kenya Premier League · KE

Kakamega Homeboyz vs Administration Police FC

08 Nov 2026 · 13:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for a home win for Kakamega Homeboyz. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 3.01 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.29. At this price, a home win for Kakamega Homeboyz does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Kakamega Homeboyz
STOCHASTICBET 30.4%
PINNACLE 30.1% odd 3.01
DIFFERENCE +0.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 34.1%
PINNACLE 34.2% odd 2.65
DIFFERENCE -0.1 pp
AWAY
Administration Police FC
STOCHASTICBET 35.5%
PINNACLE 35.8% odd 2.53
DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 12:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Kakamega Homeboyz Administration Police FC
Shots 13.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Kakamega Homeboyz Administration Police FC
Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Kakamega Homeboyz Administration Police FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.