Pulau Pinang vs Melaka FC

09 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Pulau Pinang

Melaka FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.3% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 19.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.5% 1.71 DRAW 25.2% 3.70 AWAY 20.4% 4.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pulau Pinang

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pulau Pinang Melaka FC

Shots 12.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pulau Pinang Melaka FC

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pulau Pinang Melaka FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Pulau Pinang ↓ -0.14 (-7.6%)

Melaka FC ↑ +1.08 (+30.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.