Kalamata vs Larissa

17 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Kalamata

Larissa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.3% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 15.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.3% 1.58 DRAW 23.8% 4.00 AWAY 15.9% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Kalamata has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kalamata Larissa

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Kalamata, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kalamata Larissa

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kalamata Larissa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Kalamata ↓ -0.35 (-18.1%)

Larissa ↑ +2.33 (+63.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.