AEK Athens vs Panserraikos

17 Sep 2026 · 16:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

AEK Athens

Panserraikos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 86.8% DRAW 8.3% AWAY 4.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 85.1% 1.13 DRAW 9.6% 10.00 AWAY 5.3% 18.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AEK Athens

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AEK Athens Panserraikos

Shots 20.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours AEK Athens, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AEK Athens Panserraikos

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Panserraikos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AEK Athens Panserraikos

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AEK Athens ↑ +0.05 (+4.6%)

Panserraikos ↑ +1.00 (+5.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.