Kairat Almaty vs FK Zhenys

09 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Kairat Almaty

FK Zhenys

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.6% DRAW 16.5% AWAY 8.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.5% 1.25 DRAW 16.8% 5.62 AWAY 7.7% 12.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Zhenys

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kairat Almaty FK Zhenys

Shots 9.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 11.5 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours FK Zhenys, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kairat Almaty FK Zhenys

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Kairat Almaty has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kairat Almaty FK Zhenys

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Kairat Almaty ↑ +0.00 (+0.2%)

FK Zhenys ↓ -1.70 (-12.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.