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Brazil Paulista Cup · BR

Sao Caetano vs Primavera SP

29 Aug 2026 · 20:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Away Lean

Home 16.0%
Draw 23.6%
Away 60.4%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 36.8 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Primavera SP has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack

Sao Caetano Primavera SP
Shots / match 5.3 10.5
On target / match 1.8 3.8

Defence

Sao Caetano Primavera SP
Shots allowed / match 20.5 13.0
On target allowed / match 7.3 5.0

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sao Caetano ↑ +1.49 (+28.4%)
Primavera SP ↑ +0.03 (+2.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -0.026
Shot rating -51
Shots-on-target rating -17
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Away Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the away side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.