MuSa vs NJS

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

MuSa

NJS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.1% DRAW 12.4% AWAY 8.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.2% 1.25 DRAW 13.8% 7.00 AWAY 9.0% 10.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NJS

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

MuSa NJS

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MuSa NJS

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 7.5

MuSa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MuSa NJS

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

MuSa ↓ -0.58 (-31.8%)

NJS ↑ +6.95 (+185.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.