PPJ vs Kiffen

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.9 pp

PPJ

Kiffen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.0% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 59.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.1% 3.73 DRAW 19.9% 4.69 AWAY 55.0% 1.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Kiffen clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.9% win probability, compared with 55.0% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Kiffen has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

PPJ Kiffen

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 16.8 · On target 9.3

Recent attacking output favours Kiffen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PPJ Kiffen

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Kiffen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PPJ Kiffen

The combined recent performance profile favours Kiffen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

PPJ ↑ +1.03 (+38.1%)

Kiffen ↓ -0.35 (-17.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.