TP-47 vs JS Hercules

11 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

TP-47

JS Hercules

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.6% DRAW 19.4% AWAY 21.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.9% 1.65 DRAW 20.4% 4.75 AWAY 20.7% 4.69

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

TP-47 JS Hercules

Shots 17.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 14.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

TP-47 JS Hercules

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

TP-47 JS Hercules

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

TP-47 ↓ -0.08 (-4.6%)

JS Hercules ↑ +1.19 (+34.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.