EBK vs GrIFK

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

EBK

GrIFK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.2% DRAW 20.1% AWAY 18.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.3% 1.65 DRAW 20.8% 4.87 AWAY 18.0% 5.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: GrIFK

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

EBK GrIFK

Shots 8.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

EBK GrIFK

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8

GrIFK has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

EBK GrIFK

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

EBK ↓ -0.37 (-18.3%)

GrIFK ↑ +2.87 (+104.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.