MyPa vs Union Plaani

12 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.1 pp

MyPa

Union Plaani

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 36.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% 2.15 DRAW 23.1% 4.10 AWAY 32.9% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Union Plaani clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.9% win probability, compared with 32.9% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Union Plaani has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

MyPa Union Plaani

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Union Plaani, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MyPa Union Plaani

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Union Plaani has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MyPa Union Plaani

The combined recent performance profile favours Union Plaani.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

MyPa ↑ +0.15 (+7.5%)

Union Plaani ↑ +0.13 (+4.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.