FF Jaro II vs VPS-J

06 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

FF Jaro II

VPS-J

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.6% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 54.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.3% 3.20 DRAW 19.6% 4.77 AWAY 51.1% 1.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for VPS-J relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.4% win probability, compared with 51.1% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: VPS-J

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FF Jaro II VPS-J

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FF Jaro II VPS-J

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 6.3

VPS-J has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FF Jaro II VPS-J

The combined recent performance profile favours VPS-J.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FF Jaro II ↓ -0.40 (-11.1%)

VPS-J ↑ +0.08 (+4.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.