GBK vs JBK

06 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

GBK

JBK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.6% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 41.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% 2.39 DRAW 23.3% 3.97 AWAY 38.0% 2.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for JBK relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.2% win probability, compared with 38.0% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

JBK has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

GBK JBK

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 15.3 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours JBK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

GBK JBK

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0

JBK has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

GBK JBK

The combined recent performance profile favours JBK.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

GBK ↓ -0.15 (-5.9%)

JBK ↑ +0.13 (+5.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.