Tampereen Ilves 2 vs P-Iirot

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.8 pp

Tampereen Ilves 2

P-Iirot

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.3% DRAW 18.7% AWAY 16.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.6% 1.56 DRAW 21.1% 4.33 AWAY 20.3% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Tampereen Ilves 2 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 65.3% win probability, compared with 58.6% implied by the market. The 6.8 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Tampereen Ilves 2 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tampereen Ilves 2 P-Iirot

Shots 15.3 · On target 8.8 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Tampereen Ilves 2, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tampereen Ilves 2 P-Iirot

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Tampereen Ilves 2 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tampereen Ilves 2 P-Iirot

The combined recent performance profile favours Tampereen Ilves 2.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tampereen Ilves 2 ↓ -0.22 (-12.3%)

P-Iirot ↑ +1.07 (+31.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.