AIFK vs EPS

06 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

AIFK

EPS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.7% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 20.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% 1.74 DRAW 23.9% 4.00 AWAY 20.9% 4.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: EPS

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

AIFK EPS

Shots 14.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AIFK EPS

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AIFK EPS

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

AIFK ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

EPS ↑ +0.37 (+8.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.