CS Timisul Sag vs CSU Alba Iulia

25 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

CS Timisul Sag

CSU Alba Iulia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.4% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 18.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.6% 1.76 DRAW 23.9% 4.10 AWAY 20.6% 4.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CS Timisul Sag relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.4% win probability, compared with 55.6% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CS Timisul Sag has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CS Timisul Sag CSU Alba Iulia

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours CS Timisul Sag, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CS Timisul Sag CSU Alba Iulia

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3

CS Timisul Sag has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CS Timisul Sag CSU Alba Iulia

The combined recent performance profile favours CS Timisul Sag.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CS Timisul Sag ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

CSU Alba Iulia ↑ +1.06 (+28.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.