CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Unirea Alba Iulia

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Unirea Alba Iulia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 16.4% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 61.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.6% 5.66 DRAW 22.9% 4.10 AWAY 60.5% 1.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Unirea Alba Iulia has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CS Metalurgistul Cugir Unirea Alba Iulia

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Unirea Alba Iulia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CS Metalurgistul Cugir Unirea Alba Iulia

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Unirea Alba Iulia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CS Metalurgistul Cugir Unirea Alba Iulia

The combined recent performance profile favours Unirea Alba Iulia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CS Metalurgistul Cugir ↑ +0.66 (+13.2%)

Unirea Alba Iulia ↓ -0.16 (-9.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.