CS Timisul Sag vs ACS Progresul Pecica

18 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

CS Timisul Sag

ACS Progresul Pecica

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.4% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 18.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.8% 1.80 DRAW 24.2% 4.00 AWAY 22.0% 4.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates CS Timisul Sag clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.4% win probability, compared with 53.8% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CS Timisul Sag

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CS Timisul Sag ACS Progresul Pecica

Shots 5.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CS Timisul Sag ACS Progresul Pecica

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.3

CS Timisul Sag has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CS Timisul Sag ACS Progresul Pecica

The combined recent performance profile favours CS Timisul Sag.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CS Timisul Sag ↓ -0.30 (-14.3%)

ACS Progresul Pecica ↑ +0.30 (+7.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.