CSU Alba Iulia vs ACS Viitorul Arad

04 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.7 pp

CSU Alba Iulia

ACS Viitorul Arad

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.8% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 37.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.1% 3.60 DRAW 28.9% 3.50 AWAY 43.0% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates CSU Alba Iulia clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.8% win probability, compared with 28.1% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CSU Alba Iulia

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSU Alba Iulia ACS Viitorul Arad

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 6.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours CSU Alba Iulia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSU Alba Iulia ACS Viitorul Arad

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSU Alba Iulia ACS Viitorul Arad

The combined recent performance profile favours CSU Alba Iulia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

CSU Alba Iulia ↑ +1.00 (+38.5%)

ACS Viitorul Arad = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.