ACS LPS HD Clinceni vs Dunarea Giurgiu

04 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +4.0 pp

ACS LPS HD Clinceni

Dunarea Giurgiu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 42.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.6% 2.39 DRAW 24.2% 3.72 AWAY 38.2% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Dunarea Giurgiu relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.2% win probability, compared with 38.2% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Dunarea Giurgiu has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ACS LPS HD Clinceni Dunarea Giurgiu

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Dunarea Giurgiu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ACS LPS HD Clinceni Dunarea Giurgiu

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Dunarea Giurgiu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ACS LPS HD Clinceni Dunarea Giurgiu

The combined recent performance profile favours Dunarea Giurgiu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ACS LPS HD Clinceni = (0.0%)

Dunarea Giurgiu = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.