Progresul Mogosoaia vs FC Voluntari II

04 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Progresul Mogosoaia

FC Voluntari II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.1% DRAW 18.5% AWAY 9.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.6% 1.34 DRAW 20.2% 4.55 AWAY 11.1% 8.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Progresul Mogosoaia relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 72.1% win probability, compared with 68.6% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Progresul Mogosoaia has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Progresul Mogosoaia FC Voluntari II

Shots 10.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Progresul Mogosoaia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Progresul Mogosoaia FC Voluntari II

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Progresul Mogosoaia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Progresul Mogosoaia FC Voluntari II

The combined recent performance profile favours Progresul Mogosoaia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Progresul Mogosoaia ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

FC Voluntari II ↑ +1.25 (+17.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.