Tung Sing vs Sham Shui Po

13 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Tung Sing

Sham Shui Po

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.2% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 21.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% 1.72 DRAW 23.2% 4.10 AWAY 21.5% 4.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tung Sing

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tung Sing Sham Shui Po

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Tung Sing, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tung Sing Sham Shui Po

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tung Sing Sham Shui Po

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tung Sing ↓ -0.08 (-4.4%)

Sham Shui Po ↑ +0.89 (+25.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.