Zamora II vs Barquisimeto

16 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Zamora II

Barquisimeto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 35.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.8% 2.47 DRAW 26.8% 3.40 AWAY 36.4% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zamora II Barquisimeto

Shots 16.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zamora II Barquisimeto

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zamora II Barquisimeto

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Zamora II ↑ +0.03 (+1.2%)

Barquisimeto ↓ -0.05 (-2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.