Atletico Barinas vs CD Lara

13 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Atletico Barinas

CD Lara

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.7% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 52.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.2% 3.90 DRAW 25.1% 3.60 AWAY 51.7% 1.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CD Lara

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Barinas CD Lara

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Barinas CD Lara

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.0

CD Lara has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Barinas CD Lara

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Lara.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico Barinas = (0.0%)

CD Lara = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.