Red Star FC 93 vs Metz

14 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Red Star FC 93

Metz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 32.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% 2.50 DRAW 28.6% 3.43 AWAY 32.2% 3.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Metz

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Red Star FC 93 Metz

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 14.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Red Star FC 93 Metz

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Red Star FC 93 Metz

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Red Star FC 93 ↓ -0.22 (-8.1%)

Metz ↑ +0.41 (+15.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.