Bayswater City vs Olympic Kingsway

04 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Bayswater City

Olympic Kingsway

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.3% 2.33 DRAW 26.7% 3.60 AWAY 31.9% 3.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Bayswater City relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.3% win probability, compared with 41.3% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Bayswater City has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bayswater City Olympic Kingsway

Shots 14.0 · On target 7.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Bayswater City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bayswater City Olympic Kingsway

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Bayswater City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bayswater City Olympic Kingsway

The combined recent performance profile favours Bayswater City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Bayswater City ↓ -0.17 (-6.8%)

Olympic Kingsway ↑ +0.59 (+24.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.