Venezuela Primera Division · VE

Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes Merida

31 Aug 2026 · 01:30

MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Home Lean

Home 61.8%

Draw 23.7%

Away 14.5%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 38.1 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo La Guaira Estudiantes Merida

Shots 18.5 · On target 9.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo La Guaira, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo La Guaira Estudiantes Merida

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo La Guaira Estudiantes Merida

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo La Guaira.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +0.04 (+2.7%)

Estudiantes Merida ↑ +0.66 (+11.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.878

Shot rating 37

Shots-on-target rating 27

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.