Atletico Barinas vs Yaracuyanos

06 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Atletico Barinas

Yaracuyanos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.1% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 43.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.3% 2.99 DRAW 26.6% 3.40 AWAY 43.1% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atletico Barinas

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Barinas Yaracuyanos

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Barinas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Barinas Yaracuyanos

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Yaracuyanos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Barinas Yaracuyanos

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico Barinas ↑ +0.12 (+4.0%)

Yaracuyanos = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.