Yaracuyanos vs Urena SC

02 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT HOME +3.3 pp

Yaracuyanos

Urena SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.8% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 23.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.6% 1.90 DRAW 26.6% 3.40 AWAY 25.8% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Yaracuyanos significantly higher than the market does.

Our model estimates a 50.8% win probability, compared with 47.6% implied by the market. This 3.3 percentage-point gap, supported by 2,971 historically comparable matches, highlights a significant divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Yaracuyanos has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yaracuyanos Urena SC

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Yaracuyanos, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yaracuyanos Urena SC

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Yaracuyanos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yaracuyanos Urena SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Yaracuyanos.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Yaracuyanos ↓ -0.17 (-7.8%)

Urena SC ↑ +0.36 (+11.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.