Raca Bratislava vs STK Samorin

08 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Raca Bratislava

STK Samorin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.4% DRAW 19.8% AWAY 67.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.2% 7.04 DRAW 20.6% 4.50 AWAY 66.2% 1.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

STK Samorin has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Raca Bratislava STK Samorin

Shots 9.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 14.0 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours STK Samorin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Raca Bratislava STK Samorin

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.5

STK Samorin has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Raca Bratislava STK Samorin

The combined recent performance profile favours STK Samorin.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Raca Bratislava ↑ +0.54 (+8.3%)

STK Samorin = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.