Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin

15 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

Rakow Czestochowa

Zaglebie Lubin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 26.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% 1.87 DRAW 25.7% 3.75 AWAY 22.7% 4.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Zaglebie Lubin relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 26.2% win probability, compared with 22.7% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Zaglebie Lubin has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rakow Czestochowa Zaglebie Lubin

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 15.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Zaglebie Lubin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rakow Czestochowa Zaglebie Lubin

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Zaglebie Lubin has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rakow Czestochowa Zaglebie Lubin

The combined recent performance profile favours Zaglebie Lubin.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rakow Czestochowa ↑ +0.10 (+5.6%)

Zaglebie Lubin ↓ -0.08 (-1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.