ES Setif vs ES Ben Aknoun

03 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

ES Setif

ES Ben Aknoun

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% DRAW 28.0% AWAY 16.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.4% 1.78 DRAW 28.6% 3.25 AWAY 19.0% 4.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for ES Setif relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.3% win probability, compared with 52.4% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

ES Setif has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ES Setif ES Ben Aknoun

Shots 14.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 6.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours ES Setif, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ES Setif ES Ben Aknoun

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ES Setif ES Ben Aknoun

The combined recent performance profile favours ES Setif.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

ES Setif ↑ +0.29 (+19.1%)

ES Ben Aknoun ↓ -2.65 (-35.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.